KSE-100 Technical Forecast

Technical Forecast
By Khalid Saifuddin
June, 28th, 2009 11:00pm

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity. So those who believed already got profit in their pockets. I am still Bullish for KSE-100. But remember folks I am expecting a sharp dip with the full recovery, and probably this will happen in first two days of the week. Other then that you guys have to keep eye on political and security development.
For further precise analysis and KEY LEVELS of KSE-100 or any specific scrip of Karachi stock exchange please contact @ safelyinvest@gmail.com or Call: 0345-276 8680

How the last week Key Levels worked
under the tolerance of 10 points

7025 – 7035 This one proved to be the strongest support. Its been tested 6 times
6998 This support tested twice, Tuesday and Wednesday low honored as support
7085 – 7095 This been an amazing level, the index tested it almost 10 times in 15 days
7133 High of Monday and Thursday, and then Thursday closing
7145 honored on Friday, it was also tested as high of Thursday
7158 this level worked on Friday opening and closing
7192 worked weaker on Friday

For further precise analysis and KEY LEVELS of KSE-100 or any specific scrip of Karachi stock exchange please contact @ safelyinvest@gmail.com or Call: 0345-276 8680

KSE-100 for 23rd June, 2009

By Khalid Saifuddin
June, 22nd, 2009 11:30 pm
Technical Outlook:
I am still looking for BULLISH trend, No need to worry, Lot more to happen on Tuesday and inshallah most of it will be positive.
The good news is we have seen great foriegn buying today, and this is the continuation of Fridays foreign buying for sure it will bring our local investors back in the market.
Now it is time to get into the market and ensure your profits. Off course this is the time to buy most of the selected scrip because the range of stop loss here is very low and the target journey is long enough.
Again I will say the BIG BREAKOUT is about to happen. Trust me the Bullish trend is very close to begin. Market is started increasing its volatility with the volumes
You can have the big profits in small time frame and I am still convinced on my above said all statements. as I said in my last report "The Bulls only required 26 to 60 positive points for Monday closing. Any negative closing on Monday will drag market back into mild bearish trend."
Recommendations
: Strongly condemned short selling, appreciate buy in most of the scrips. For further details on scrip analysis please contact: Saif @ 0345-276 8680 or safelyinvest@ gmail.com
Disclaimer:This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. We accept no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of these levels. However the author DOES NOT GUARANTEES the accuracy of information provided on this report and is NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS AND/OR OMISSIONS.

Technical View for the 3rd Week of June by SafelyInvest

By Khalid Saifuddin
June, 21st, 2009 3:00 am
Technical Outlook:
Expect the BULLISH trend now
Opportunities do not come to those who wait;
They are captured by those who attack.
Off course this is the time to buy most of the selected script because
the range of stop loss here is very low and the target journey is long enough
to cover at least one month return in few sessions.
I am still convinced on my above said statement.
Trust me the Bullish trend is about to begin, The past week we found some buying power in foreign investors portfolio and Friday was awesome though the market closed in negative, but I will still call it honored my Friday call of bullish.
Market closed on one of the strongest support level on Friday, now the Bulls only required 26 to 60 positive points for Monday closing.
If you look at the past 7 weeks market remain under the range of 7320 and 6870, and now squeezing range of the market is indicating the big breakout.
Any negative closing on Monday will drag market back into mild bearish trend.
If I conclude the behavior of last 2 months, the KSE got the more pressure dragging market down, and bulls were weaker then the Bears, I see this third time in 2 months bulls are trying to take control of the market. Well I am pretty much optimistic this time for Bulls. Bulls are required to cross the 7150 level with Volume and then you will see the dancing bulls in the market.
Market is currently experiencing very low volatility; I see the possibility of increasing volatility and volumes with positive breakout in prices for future.

Recommendations: Strongly condemned short selling, appreciate buy
in most of the scrips. For further details on script analysis please contact
Saif @ 0345-276 8680 or safelyinvest@ gmail.com

Key Levels
Resistance
7085 – 7095
7133
7145
7158
7192
Support
7025 – 7035
6998
6955
6932
6876
Foreign Investors Portfolio
Status for June 15th -19th, 2009
Gross Buy
Rs 1,721,302,354
Gross Sell
Rs 1,615,412,978
Net Buy/(Sell)
Rs 105,889,378
USD$ 1,315,396
Source: NCCPL

Market Down by 0.24%

Recap: KSE-100 for Past week

Declining T-bill yields in conjunction with media reports that the discount rate would be reduced in the next Monetary Policy led to widespread bullish sentiment on Wednesday. Investors were still not sure about the replacement of CVT with FED on stock market. Law and order situation and expansion on Operation Rah-e-Rast was also having some negative impacts on market.
As we indicated last week about the beginning of bullish trend, but the post-budget discussions and negative interpretation of the budget intersected the rising local interest. Foreign buying on Friday certifies the bullish beginning in the market. Although the investors confidence was shattered but they still holding positions in the market, and prepared to be a part of bullish rally
safelyinvest@ gmail.com
or call 0345-276 8680
We are offering low commissions and affordable membership plans; we believe it is better to pay little instead of speculating blindfolded.
Disclaimer
This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. We accept no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of these levels. However the author DOES NOT GUARANTEES the accuracy of information provided on this report and is NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS AND/OR OMISSIONS.

Dehan for Friday 19th June, 2009

Wakeup Call for early birds
Grow your investment while doing your current job
posted Thursday 7:50pm
Bulls are eager to get control
Morning Buzz for Friday June, 19th, 2009

WOW traders good news for bulls, I see more chances for bulls here, Friday closing is very important for trend development.
The below given key levels are important for intraday traders and those who want thier positions to be off loaded for weekend.
I do not support short here, I recmmend Buy in few scrips, and I also appreciate gradual buying in some of scrips, for week long.

R-4 7325
R-3 7230
R-2 7152
R-1 7095
S-1 7031
S-2 6874
Right now market is moving in a range of 7152 and 6874
Breaking 7325 will make bulls more stronger
For further precise analysis of KSE-100 or any specific scrips of Karachi stock exchange.
Please contact @ safelyinvest@gmail.com or Call: 0345-276 8680 and 021-432 2359
We also offer live trading calls for our exclusive clients with
Update on all related news which fuse or energies the market

Disclaimer
This report is prepared solely for information and data purposes. The above is not recommendation to buy or sell. We accept no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of these levels. However the author DOES NOT GUARANTEES the accuracy of information provided on this report and is NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS AND/OR OMISSIONS

You got your profit out of the pre-budget trading

WOW well done!
You got your profit out of the pre-budget trading
Once again I am really thankful for believing me.
Your success is my achievement.
Hi Folks
I like to congratulate all of my members and active clients who were participating and following the pre-budget speculative trading. I am really glad to see your amazing profits in last couple of days.
Now onwards I am expecting the same daring entries in the market for you guys.
Well as I said earlier in my report "Market is either adventure or nothing"
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For further precise analysis of KSE-100 or any specific script of Karachi stock exchange please contact @ safelyinvest@gmail.com or Call: 0345-276 8680
We also offer live trading calls for our exclusive clients with
Update on all related news which fuse or energies the market
I hope you will implement all those strategies which in turn will help securing your investments.
Saif
Safelyinvest
0345-276-8680
safelyinvest@gmail.com
Disclaimer
This report is prepared solely for information and data purposes. The above is not recommendation to buy or sell. We accept no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of these levels. However the author DOES NOT GUARANTEES the accuracy of information provided on this report and is NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS AND/OR OMISSIONS.

Technical Forecast for 2nd week for June, 2009

Technical Forecast for 2nd Week of June, 2009 for KSE-100
By Khalid Saifuddin
June, 7th , 2009 4:00 pm
Market is either a daring adventure, or nothing.
So Expect the BULLISH trend now
Opportunities do not come to those who wait; they are captured by those who attack. Off course this is the time to buy most of the selected script because the range of stop loss here is very low and the target journey is long enough to cover at least one month return in few sessions
Trust me the Bullish trend is about to begin, we are only carrying few worries which are the pre budget rumors. Do not panic if you see 50 negative points on Monday.
7024 – 7288 will be the comfort zone for the market in current scenario. Closing above 7180 will take the market into new channel and strengthening the bullish sentiments.
Accurate interpretation of Budget and breaking 7285 will be the strongest rally for the bulls in future. For now most of the issues are going into the favor of the market, the pre budget recommendations, the foreign delegation meetings, the new accords and the release of pending installments.
By looking at the Friday volume we can expect the increasing volume in this week, which is very much related to the foreign/fund buying in this week
Negative Expectation:along with all these bullish hopes we do have few negative issues in pipeline, such as the last week decline of capitalization by 5.1%, we lost USD$ 11,907,250 from foreign investor’s portfolio.
This was the continuous sale in last three days of the week generating fear in local investor (only Friday we lost USD$ 8,260,725)

Foreign Investment Portfolio
Source: NCCPL
Gross Buy Rs. 3,092,207,867
Gross Sell Rs. 4,047,860,860
Net Buy (Sell) Rs. -955,652,993
Net Buy (Sell) in USD$ -11,901,034)

Key Levels for the market
Resistance
7170-7175
7094-7105
7042-7050
7023
6975
Support
6841-6850
6702-6719
6618
6274
6036
Recommendations: I strongly recommend buy in most of the scripts and if we experience few negative points on Monday we must add more to over portfolio, BUT breaking 6830-6841 will be the last hope andexit point from the market.

JSCL: BEARISH – Uneven move expected
All I can say is buy and place the stop loss of Friday low, short is more appropriate but the stop loss is little far up to 25.25

MCB: BEARISH – No recommendations
As indicated earlier that if it crosses the 155.79, trader must get into short now it’s been proved.

DGKC: BULLISH
Key Levels
25.6
25.05
24.55
24.35
23.82
22.65
21.75
Keep on buying, add more on dips. Any uncertain decline in market can only affect the script. 21.75 is the last resort of DGKC

ATRL: BULLISH
Key Levels
124.3
123.25
122.25
121.18
119.28
117.05
116
ATRL is coming back to its bullish cycle and trading above 123.45 and trading around this range will boost the rally towards its higher resistances.

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We are offering low commissions and affordable membership plans, we believe it is better to pay little instead of speculating blindfolded.
Recap: KSE-100 for Past week
Last week I mentioned that if market closed about Monday closing above 7287 will continue the bullish zone, unfortunately it won’t happen and later market gets out from its mild bullish channel to steady bearish channel.
I recommended traders to keep buying on support levels and I am sure whoever did that will get amazing return on those buy. I also indicated that we are loosing foreign investment and that was one of the major causes of loosing 5.24% market this week. Other then these were the pre budget rumors/statements become the last hit to the market.
Disclaimer
This report is prepared solely for information and data purposes. The above is not recommendation to buy or sell. We accept no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of these levels. However the author DOES NOT GUARANTEES the accuracy of information provided on this report and is NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS AND/OR OMISSIONS